As winter approaches, meteorologists are forecasting a season that could be warmer and less snowy than average for New York City. According to a recent report from the National Weather Service (NWS) and the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), the upcoming months are expected to be influenced by a weak La Niña pattern — a climate phenomenon known for creating milder winters across parts of the northeastern United States.
Slightly Warmer Temperatures, Less Snow
Forecasters say temperatures between December 2025 and February 2026 are likely to remain slightly above normal, particularly during early winter. The amount of snowfall, traditionally ranging from 25 to 35 inches in the city, could drop below average this year.
Meteorologist Elena Rodriguez of the NWS explained, “La Niña typically redirects the jet stream, pushing cold Arctic air further north while allowing warmer, drier air to dominate the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast regions. This often results in fewer snowstorms and more rain events.”
La Niña’s Role and Unpredictable Patterns
While La Niña is known to influence global weather systems, its impact on the Northeast tends to be inconsistent. The report highlights that much of the season’s severity will depend on how upper-air currents and storm tracks evolve over the North Atlantic.
In past La Niña years, such as 2011–12 and 2016–17, New York experienced mild winters with short-lived cold spells. However, meteorologists caution that a single strong nor’easter could still significantly affect total snow accumulation, even in a warmer-than-usual year.
City Preparations Underway
Despite the mild forecast, the New York City Department of Sanitation (DSNY) has confirmed that its snow-removal equipment and salt reserves are ready. “Regardless of the outlook, we prepare as if it’s going to be a harsh winter,” said DSNY Commissioner Jessica Tisch.
The Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) is also updating cold-weather protocols for subways and commuter trains to prevent ice-related disruptions that plagued operations in previous winters.
Public Guidance
Residents are advised to monitor short-term forecasts as the season progresses, as long-range outlooks can shift with changes in atmospheric pressure patterns. Energy providers are also encouraging households to review insulation and heating systems early to reduce winter energy costs.
In Summary
If projections hold true, New Yorkers can expect a milder, less snowy winter — a welcome respite after several seasons of unpredictable weather. Still, experts remind the public that nature often defies expectations: one well-timed snowstorm can rewrite the entire season’s narrative.
